As flagged earlier in the week, there was not many matches to trade this weekend and the two i was interested in didn’t pan out in the way i had hoped in order to trade them.
FC Cincinatti v Toronto was on the FT15 shortlist, however, the first goal being scored on 10 minutes put pay of any chance to get involved at a decent price. A 2nd goal was scored on 21 minutes and there was a few more too. The match ended 1-5 in favour of Toronto,
Internacional v Sao Paolo was on the FTU25 shortlist but was not a great price at kick off, ~1.5. I was hoping for an early goal to boost the price and then trade out around half-time. No goal was scored until 77 minutes though, and that was the solitary goal. So it would have paid off as a straight bet or in a double/treble.
International fixtures are still dominating the week, so looks like being a pretty quiet one for trading.
Despite the international break there is still a few matches to trade on.
I will be looking at: – FC Cincinatti v Toronto for an FT15 in the MLS – Internacional v Sao Paolo for an FTU25 in Brazil Serie A
They are quite a few matches in the STM shortlist for FH05 to keep an eye on too, most of them also in the MLS.
Unfortunately, all were quite low prices (low £1.20’s) in the Over/Under 1.5 Goals market on Betfair pre-game and all three matches had goals too early to get into at a decent price.
I backed a double for 1 Pts at nice odds of £2.20:
Rennes v Nice – FTu25, and
Yeni Malatyaspor v Alanyaspor – FH05
Sadly the FTU25 failed with a 3rd goal in the 90th minute.
Six matches selected for today, all played as set and forget. Four FT15s and two FH05. Overall 2 winners, 1 loser and 2 no-bets meaning I broke even on the day.
Tampines Rovers v Warriors FC – FH05 & FT15
Pre-match First Half Over 0.5 Goals was priced ~£1.17 and (full match) Over 1.5 Goals was priced ~£1.09, both quite low. I did a set and forget for First Half Over 0.5 Goals at £1.50 for 1 point and also (full match) Over 1.5 Goals at £1.50 for 1 point.The first goal came after 22 minutes, for the away team, allowing only the First Half Over 0.5 Goalsbet to get matched. The away team scored a 2nd goal scored at 60 minutes followed by a late consolation for the home time in injury time. At the end 1 winner and 1 no-bet for a net profit of 0.475
Pts.Jeonbuk Motors v Ulsan Hyundai Horang-i – FT15
Pre-match Over 1.5 Goals was priced ~£1.25 . I did a set and forget for £1.55 for 1 point.The home team scored a penalty after 10 minutes and the away team equalised after 34 minutes, due to the early goal this one was a no-bet.
Ostersunds FK v Norrkoping – FT15
Pre-match Over 1.5 Goals was priced ~£1.31 . I did a set and forget for £1.55 for 1 point.No goals in the first half ensured this one got matched and three goals came in the second half to lock in a winner. The match ended 2-1 and a net profit of 0.52 Pts.
New York Red Bulls v New York City – FT15
Pre-match Over 1.5 Goals was priced ~£1.14 . I did a set and forget for £1.50 for 1 point.The away team scored after 7 minutes followed by 2 goals from the home team to secure a home win, due to the early goal this one was a no-bet.
Seattle Sounders v Atlanta Utd – FH05
Pre-match First Half Over 0.5 Goals was priced ~£1.34. I did a set and forget for £1.55 for 1 point.Unfortunately there was no goals in the first half so the bet got matched but ended in a loser for a loss of 1 Pts
Four matches selected for today, all played as set and forget and all using the FT15 strategy. Overall3 winners and 1 no-bet resulting on a net profit of 1.61 Pts
Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles FC – FT15
Pre-match Over 1.5 Goals was priced ~£1.17, which is very low but at the same time reassuring to see that goals were expected. I did a set and forget for Over 1.5 Goals at £1.55 for 1 point in the hope that the flow of goals would come late in the first half.The first goal came after 3 minutes and then a 2nd on half-time, hence, this one ended in a no-bet. The match ended 1-3 to LA.
Falkenbergs v IFK Goteborg – FT15
Pre-match Over 1.5 Goals was priced ~£1.35. I did a set and forget for Over 1.5 Goals at £1.55 for 1 point.There were no goals in the first half which ensured my bet got matched. The first goal came on 48 minutes and a second on 90 minutes resulting in a winner and net profit of 0.52 Pts.
AIK v Elfsborg – FT15
Pre-match Over 1.5 Goals was priced ~£1.43 which was quite high, hence I lifted my entry price slightly for a set and forget for Over 1.5 Goals at £1.60 for 1 point.My trade got matched and two first half goals, on 24 and 39 minutes, for the home team locked in a winner before half-time. There was a 3rd goal in the second half also to the home team and the match ended 3-0. Net profit from this match was 0.57 Pts.
Montreal Impact v Toronto FC – FT15
Pre-match Over 1.5 Goals was priced ~£1.26, so similar to the Houston game I did a set and forget for Over 1.5 Goals at £1.55 for 1 point in the hope that the flow of goals would come late in the firsthalf. However, this one did get matched, after around 26 minutes, and ended in a winner with the match ending in a 0-2 win to Toronto. The first goal was scored on 61 minutes and the second 5 minutes into injury time at the end of the match securing at net profit of 0.52 Pts.
